Alliances rise and fall. Candidates go up and down. It all depends on how an individual plays his cards…and the often unpredictable whims of the electorate.
In this case we are talking about a political race, albeit on a much different scale.
Senate President Dick Codey wants to stay in power for at least another two years, and the word is that Steve Sweeney will challenge him.
But the key question is when? The Senate is unlikely to convene before November. Only Codey as Senate President has the power to call a leadership vote within the conference. Will he do that within a few weeks of coming back? Who knows, but my guess is probably not. Especially if his hold on power is tenuous.
In fact, it’s unusual ( as Codey is eager to point out ) to even hold a leadership vote in a non-election year. The Senate is not up in 2009. So, it’s conceivable that Sweeney won’t even get a shot.
Now here is where this gets tricky…on the second Tuesday of January 2010, The Senate will reconstitute. At that point, the Senate is expected to vote for it’s President. Normally, the party not in control respects the will of the party that is in control. But if there was no leadership vote within the Democratic caucus what happens then? I certainly don’t know.
There had been some talk that Sweeney would try and win with Republican votes but he downplayed that suggestion this week. And Codey has said that such a move would not be good for the institution.
So, where does that leave us? I fear as though I have once again raised more questions without providing adequate answers.